major event
Quantifying Public Response to COVID-19 Events: Introducing the Community Sentiment and Engagement Index
Thakur, Nirmalya, Patel, Kesha A., Poon, Audrey, Cui, Shuqi, Azizi, Nazif, Shah, Rishika, Shah, Riyan
This study introduces the Community Sentiment and Engagement Index (CSEI), developed to capture nuanced public sentiment and engagement variations on social media, particularly in response to major events related to COVID-19. Constructed with diverse sentiment indicators, CSEI integrates features like engagement, daily post count, compound sentiment, fine-grain sentiments (fear, surprise, joy, sadness, anger, disgust, and neutral), readability, offensiveness, and domain diversity. Each component is systematically weighted through a multi-step Principal Component Analysis (PCA)-based framework, prioritizing features according to their variance contributions across temporal sentiment shifts. This approach dynamically adjusts component importance, enabling CSEI to precisely capture high-sensitivity shifts in public sentiment. The development of CSEI showed statistically significant correlations with its constituent features, underscoring internal consistency and sensitivity to specific sentiment dimensions. CSEI's responsiveness was validated using a dataset of 4,510,178 Reddit posts about COVID-19. The analysis focused on 15 major events, including the WHO's declaration of COVID-19 as a pandemic, the first reported cases of COVID-19 across different countries, national lockdowns, vaccine developments, and crucial public health measures. Cumulative changes in CSEI revealed prominent peaks and valleys aligned with these events, indicating significant patterns in public sentiment across different phases of the pandemic. Pearson correlation analysis further confirmed a statistically significant relationship between CSEI daily fluctuations and these events (p = 0.0428), highlighting the capacity of CSEI to infer and interpret shifts in public sentiment and engagement in response to major events related to COVID-19.
SmartBook: AI-Assisted Situation Report Generation
Reddy, Revanth Gangi, Fung, Yi R., Zeng, Qi, Li, Manling, Wang, Ziqi, Sullivan, Paul, Ji, Heng
Emerging events, such as the COVID pandemic and the Ukraine Crisis, require a time-sensitive comprehensive understanding of the situation to allow for appropriate decision-making and effective action response. Automated generation of situation reports can significantly reduce the time, effort, and cost for domain experts when preparing their official human-curated reports. However, AI research toward this goal has been very limited, and no successful trials have yet been conducted to automate such report generation. We propose SmartBook, a novel task formulation targeting situation report generation, which consumes large volumes of news data to produce a structured situation report with multiple hypotheses (claims) summarized and grounded with rich links to factual evidence. We realize SmartBook for the Ukraine-Russia crisis by automatically generating intelligence analysis reports to assist expert analysts. The machine-generated reports are structured in the form of timelines, with each timeline organized by major events (or chapters), corresponding strategic questions (or sections) and their grounded summaries (or section content). Our proposed framework automatically detects real-time event-related strategic questions, which are more directed than manually-crafted analyst questions, which tend to be too complex, hard to parse, vague and high-level. Results from thorough qualitative evaluations show that roughly 82% of the questions in Smartbook have strategic importance, with at least 93% of the sections in the report being tactically useful. Further, experiments show that expert analysts tend to add more information into the SmartBook reports, with only 2.3% of the existing tokens being deleted, meaning SmartBook can serve as a useful foundation for analysts to build upon when creating intelligence reports.
Trigger-free Event Detection via Derangement Reading Comprehension
Event detection (ED), aiming to detect events from texts and categorize them, is vital to understanding actual happenings in real life. However, mainstream event detection models require high-quality expert human annotations of triggers, which are often costly and thus deter the application of ED to new domains. Therefore, in this paper, we focus on low-resource ED without triggers and aim to tackle the following formidable challenges: multi-label classification, insufficient clues, and imbalanced events distribution. We propose a novel trigger-free ED method via Derangement mechanism on a machine Reading Comprehension (DRC) framework. More specifically, we treat the input text as Context and concatenate it with all event type tokens that are deemed as Answers with an omitted default question. So we can leverage the self-attention in pre-trained language models to absorb semantic relations between input text and the event types. Moreover, we design a simple yet effective event derangement module (EDM) to prevent major events from being excessively learned so as to yield a more balanced training process. The experiment results show that our proposed trigger-free ED model is remarkably competitive to mainstream trigger-based models, showing its strong performance on low-source event detection.
AI spots 'anomalies' in space
An artificially intelligent system has spotted a number of "anomalies" in space that could help us better understand the universe. Researchers hope the system can be used to spot far more such space anomalies โ and help lead scientists to new supernovae and other extreme and distant objects in space. The new system is set to help scientists overcome the vast amount of data that comes in each day from the sky above us, picking through to find the most interesting and intriguing possible objects. In recent decades, astronomers have struggled in part because they have too much data: the advent of large-scale surveys of the skies means that scientists are gathering vast amounts of data each night. That means there are billions of potentially interesting objects lying in wait in catalogues to be discovered by scientists.
How the Crisis in Ukraine Could Impact Machine Learning Models - Banking Exchange
When there's a major event that causes the destabilization of financial markets, not having a sound governance, risk and control (GRC) strategy for Machine Learning (ML) models becomes increasingly a risk to banks and other organizations. The pandemic is a prime example -- it sent shockwaves throughout the financial industry and jeopardized the validity of financial ML models. The current crisis in Ukraine is another example. As the conflict there worsens and the resulting economic fallout continues, the critical need for financial organizations to have checks in place to safeguard artificial intelligence (AI) and prevent bias will be revealed. You may have heard stories of grandparents trying to make their first-ever online purchases during the pandemic, only to be declined because they had never used their credit cards to shop online before the pandemic.
Computational Lens on Cognition: Study Of Autobiographical Versus Imagined Stories With Large-Scale Language Models
Sap, Maarten, Jafarpour, Anna, Choi, Yejin, Smith, Noah A., Pennebaker, James W., Horvitz, Eric
Lifelong experiences and learned knowledge lead to shared expectations about how common situations tend to unfold. Such knowledge enables people to interpret story narratives and identify salient events effortlessly. We study differences in the narrative flow of events in autobiographical versus imagined stories using GPT-3, one of the largest neural language models created to date. The diary-like stories were written by crowdworkers about either a recently experienced event or an imagined event on the same topic. To analyze the narrative flow of events of these stories, we measured sentence *sequentiality*, which compares the probability of a sentence with and without its preceding story context. We found that imagined stories have higher sequentiality than autobiographical stories, and that the sequentiality of autobiographical stories is higher when they are retold than when freshly recalled. Through an annotation of events in story sentences, we found that the story types contain similar proportions of major salient events, but that the autobiographical stories are denser in factual minor events. Furthermore, in comparison to imagined stories, autobiographical stories contain more concrete words and words related to the first person, cognitive processes, time, space, numbers, social words, and core drives and needs. Our findings highlight the opportunity to investigate memory and cognition with large-scale statistical language models.
Navigating through extreme events using Artificial Intelligence - TiG
It's vital that businesses monitor their data models in real-time and lookout for anomalies that could cause problems. If a product is suddenly selling at 10 times the normal rate a human might need to step in and amend the processes in place. Businesses need to be proactive about which machine learning models and which input variables within the models are most sensitive to extreme events. Anything that depends on human behaviour--from electricity demand to shopping--will be affected by major events. The business's data scientists should sit down with subject-matter experts and stress-test a system in simulation: What items might customers want in a crisis?
An Event Reconstruction Tool for Conflict Monitoring Using Social Media
Liang, Junwei (Carnegie Mellon University) | Fan, Desai (Carnegie Mellon University) | Lu, Han (Carnegie Mellon University) | Huang, Poyao (Carnegie Mellon University) | Chen, Jia (Carnegie Mellon University) | Jiang, Lu (Carnegie Mellon University) | Hauptmann, Alexander (Carnegie Mellon University)
What happened during the Boston Marathon in 2013? Nowadays, at any major event, lots of people take videos and share them on social media. To fully understand exactly what happened in these major events, researchers and analysts often have to examine thousands of these videos manually. To reduce this manual effort, we present an investigative system that automatically synchronizes these videos to a global timeline and localizes them on a map. In addition to alignment in time and space, our system combines various functions for analysis, including gunshot detection, crowd size estimation, 3D reconstruction and person tracking. To our best knowledge, this is the first time a unified framework has been built for comprehensive event reconstruction for social media videos.
Report on the 2013 Affective Computing and Intelligent Interaction Conference (ACII 2013)
Pun, Thierry (University of Geneva) | Nijholt, Anton (University of Twente)
Report on the 2013 Affective Computing and Intelligent Interaction Conference (ACII 2013) Abstract The 2013 Affective Computing and Intelligent Interaction Conference (ACII 2013)- was held in Geneva, Switzerland, September 2-5, 2013. The 2013 Affective Computing and Intelligent Interaction Conference (ACII 2013)- was held in Geneva, Switzerland, September 2-5, 2013.